I think that was my Stats Professors opening line of the first lecture 
One of my favourites is
āThere is no evidence to suggestā¦ā
This should ALWAYS be countered by āHas anyone looked, and if so, did they know what they were doing?ā
Oh, I see Iāve been missing out on the fun ![]()
Well that was a madcap meandering minestrone ![]()
Not sure it really contributed much to the discussion of authoritarian lockdowns that have driven young people to suicide and done so much economic damage that itās quite possible the resulting poverty will kill more than the virus did, and unlike the covid-19 it wonāt just be people who are either very old and frail or otherwise immunocompromised. But of course that will be a hidden statistic unlike the rather misleading ones about the number of people who died WITH covid-19.
Without wanting to inflame this discussion further:
If there have been suicides itās regrettable in the extreme, but with cold objectivity the numbers would be a thousandth of a tiny percent of a tiny fraction of COVID deaths.
And if u really think itās just the āoldā and the āimmunocompromisedā you really need to check your data sources and stop basing opinion on social media conspiracies. Our ICUs are STILL FULL of young people on ECMO.
But now the vast majority and sicker patients are the unvaccinated. There is a small percentage of people in intensive care that are vaccinated but easily at least 90% arenāt. We noticed empirically a significant improvement with the massive vaccination programme in the UK, and that is backed by scientific data. But there are cohorts of the general population who refuse and they are now our target audience in intensive careā¦
And while weāre on the subject, itās not just about deaths. Do you realise that a young healthy male will lose 30% of their muscle mass just being intubated for one week? Even if they survive it, ICU myopathy and neuropathy are debilitating conditions that take months or years to overcome. Forget about working if u suffer with these. And thatās in a country where u donāt have to fund all this care yourself. Itās as much or even more about morbidity, not just mortality.
Please do stop referring to lockdowns as āauthoritarianā. Thatās about as clever as saying seatbelts in a car are āauthoritarianā. Itās the rule because it saves lives. And until more people are vaccinated lockdowns may be needed to slow the spread and stop ICUs from getting overrun.
It was definitely no fun prior to the initial lockdown where we converted pretty much every ward to an ICU and still had to have two beds to every space.
And on that point, irresponsibly taking risks will overwhelm healthcare supply. This means that care has to be diverted from other patients to manage the critically ill.
But over the last year weāve seen a high death toll - patients whose care was delayed as all resources were switched to managing covid. Now THAT is a hidden statistic worth talking aboutā¦
Liar!
Damn Liar !
Statistician !